Forecasters aren't expecting Gabrielle to have any direct impacts on the U.S., but it's the first named storm in the Atlantic in nearly three weeks.

North Carolina

Tropical Storm Gabrielle has developed in the Atlantic, breaking a record-tying 19-day lull without a named storm, a stretch last seen in 1992. The storm is currently not well-organized due to dry air and wind shear, but conditions are expected to improve, potentially allowing Gabrielle to strengthen into a hurricane.

Forecasts indicate that Gabrielle is unlikely to impact the US, as steering currents are pushing it eastward. However, Bermuda could see increased rainfall and wind gusts, with up to 4 inches of rain and gusts reaching 70 miles per hour possible. Another tropical wave off the coast of Africa is also being monitored for potential development in the coming days.

Tropical Storm Gabrielle ends the record quiet stretch in the Atlantic

Things are heating up in the Atlantic right now. That's sure the Atlantic was asleep. Somebody woke it up. We went 19 days without a named storm in the Atlantic, which is actually a record tying lull. And actually, back in 1992, it was the same days exactly from August 29th until today, September 17th, that we went without a named storm in the Atlantic. But now, Gabrielle is here. Take a look. Not a very organized storm system, not looking too healthy at this point, which is good news for us. Now, the reason why dry air and wind shear, but here's the track we think that Gabrielle is going to take. Now, you'll notice we stay at tropical storm status for a while. And you might be wondering, well, Gabrielle went from a tropical depression, so not even a named storm to Gabrielle, pretty quickly there. And that's true, but now those conditions are just not favorable for this storm to strengthen. However, by the time we get to Sunday, that's when we think we get to hurricane status. The good news, once again, we are not looking at US impacts from this storm. The steering flow is driving Gabrielle further to the east. Bermuda, though, we're looking at some potential impacts there. Not a direct hit, but increase in rain, stronger wind gusts. We'll take a look at those in just a minute. But here's what I was talking about with that dry air. We have Gabrielle, and we have dry air that's really kind of been shearing Gabrielle apart a little bit as we've gone through the last 12 hours or so. Now, those conditions should improve as we look towards the weekend. That's why we think that's when Gabrielle finally strengthens. The other thing we think improves as we get into the weekend is the wind shear. So on this map, darker purple indicates stronger wind shear. A tropical storm does not want strong wind shear. In order to stay together, in order to strengthen, it wants low wind shear, which is in the lighter purple. So Gabrielle moving into the stronger wind shear, however, then things improve. Now, we do think Gabrielle hangs on. And maintains its tropical storm status. We don't think that we bounce back and forth between a depression, a storm, and then eventually a hurricane. But it's just not looking good for Gabrielle right at this minute, which, of course, again, good news for us. Now, I mentioned Bermuda. Here's exactly what we're talking about with that rainfall. From Monday night through Wednesday morning is the timeline we're looking at here. At the other local storm, max 4 inches of rain. Then we're talking about 40, 60, even 70 mile per hour wind gusts, which can certainly do some damage, lead to some power outages. Now, this is not all that we're tracking in the Atlantic. Just coming off the coast of Africa, we have another tropical wave that we are eyeing. We've been highlighting this for days now with a low chance of tropical development in the near term. So September 19th to the 22nd, we're watching for when this moves west into the Caribbean because then the conditions are right for it to strengthen. We're watching for maybe some potential US impacts, but not for at least 7 to 10 days.

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