AccuWeather's Jon Porter monitors a tropical rainstorm in the Atlantic Ocean. It's projected to strengthen into the next named storm, Gabrielle, while churning towards the Caribbean Islands.

AccuWeather has released an early forecast track for a tropical wave in the Atlantic Ocean, which is being monitored for potential development into a tropical storm or hurricane. The decision to issue a track ahead of official recognition by the National Hurricane Center was made to provide advanced notice to communities and businesses in the Caribbean that rely on early hurricane forecasts.

Meteorologists note that the system is currently struggling to organize due to the presence of dry air, which could limit its development. However, if the system remains in an area of low wind shear and the dry air diminishes, it could intensify into a category 2 hurricane as it approaches the islands. AccuWeather emphasizes the importance of preparedness in the affected regions, regardless of the system's eventual strength.

Tracking tropical rainstorm in the Atlantic

Yesterday we made the decision in the afternoon in fact we almost did it in the morning here but we made a decision that the tropical wave that we believe is going to become a storm the decision was made hey listen yes National Hurricane Center does not have a track out doesn't even have this as a storm till the weekend but we feel pretty confident on where this is going so we decided to issue an eyepath and we want to make people understand why we do that so far in advance we made that decision Bernie because we have many people who rely on us across the Caribbean for hurricane forecasts and we want to both people and businesses and we want people to be safer and best prepared more advanced notice that we can provide that's very valuable to people that's why we're the only source that is the only known source that has issued a track for this particular storm threat and again as you mentioned this can be slow to develop but can become a hurricane as it approaches the islands that we want people to be best prepared all right and notice the timing we're talking about almost a week from now all right let's get into the decision on why we did what we did there's the area of rain and thunderstorms here you can see it's circled it's about 35 37 degrees west the key is though John it's pretty far south number one now anytime we're forecasting a tropical system you have to look at all ingredients here's the one ingredient that would argue we yeah you have to be careful that that it may not develop into a strong system there's a lot of dry air here burning we see this on the water vapor satellite loop and we're looking at that dry air here in areas of orange and yellow and that when a storm is in its early stages trying to organize if it entrains that dry air that can slow the development of the thunderstorms and slow the organization it certainly is getting dry air infused into it and that's why it's struggling to have a concentric area of thunderstorms at the moment that's well organized and that's going to likely be why this is going to be slower to develop as it tracks to the west however the one thing we're talking with Alex De Silva this morning and he made this point and I agree with them if there is low wind shear oftentimes these systems will try to develop and then it could create its own environment for which it's going to thrive as long as this stays south of 20 degrees north which is the line north of Puerto Rico which is this well south there is low wind shear right in the next week right this should be a very favorable zone here this entire area that it's going to be traversing through for intensification and that's why we made the decision we did to issue a track forecast along with impacts for this storm now key is if that dry air doesn't stop it then we're going to be talking about a hurricane now a lot of debate John yesterday afternoon and this morning on how strong this can get back to our eyepath because there is a concern that this dry air could really limit the development on the other hand the wind shear is low we decided to go with the category 2 hurricane but again there's a way out of this that this dry air really tamps down on development that's a very important point if the dry air does end up winning out then this may remain a tropical storm or tropical rainstorm as approaches the islands which still could have dangerous impacts that's why we're highlighting it but if that dry air backs off look out we're going to be dealing with at least a category 2 hurricane as it approaches the islands our message is in the lesser intelligence you have to be prepared yep you have impacts coming late next week Accuweather chief meteorologist John Porter John thanks for joining us here on Accuweather Early

The White House said the U.S. is sending 10 F-35 fighter jets to Puerto Rico. It comes as the Defense Department confirmed that two armed Venezuelan F-16 fighter jets flew over a U.S. Navy ship in the region on Thursday.

Washington

U.S. to send F-35 fighter jets to Puerto Rico amid Venezuela tensions

President Trump signed an executive order to start the process of renaming the Department of Defense to the Department of War, restoring a name the agency last held in the late 1940s.

Trump orders Defense Department be renamed as Department of War

Xi and Kim, along with top officials from their countries, met on Thursday at Beijing’s Great Hall of the People a day after Kim attended a Chinese military parade alongside other foreign leaders including Russian President Vladimir Putin.

Beijing

China’s Xi and North Korea’s Kim meet in Beijing, pledge deeper ties

Two Venezuelan fighter jets flew over the USS Jason Dunham, multiple Defense Department officials confirm, calling the action a "show of force." CBS News' Willie James Inman and Charlie D'Agata report.

Caracas

Two Venezuelan fighter jets fly over U.S. Navy ship, officials confirm

A massive Immigration and Customs Enforcement raid at a Hyundai manufacturing site in Georgia led to hundreds of immigrants being detained for apparently living and working in the U.S. illegally.

Savannah

Massive ICE raid at Hyundai site leaves 475 detained in Georgia

Israel targeted a high-rise building in Gaza City, the military said in a statement. As the world braces for Israel's major military operation to seize Gaza's largest city, Hamas released a video purportedly showing two hostages, including one calling on Israel not to carry out its planned Gaza City offensive.

Jerusalem

Middle East Conflict

Israel strikes Gaza City high-rise building, Hamas releases another hostage video

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio is wrapping up a two-day trip to Latin America. It comes as the countries in the region watch the Trump administration step up military activity in the area, to combat drug trafficking and illegal migration.

Quito

U.S. mulls military base in Ecuador

A powerful aftershock struck eastern Afghanistan late on Thursday night. More than 2,200 people have already died the quake. Rescue crews are still searching remote villages, but rescue efforts are hampered by rough terrain and aftershocks. The World Food Programme says food stocks are running low and could be exhausted within weeks.

Kabul

Afghanistan quake death toll passes 2200 as food supplies run low

What happens in Ukraine once the war with Russia is over? France tells President Volodymyr Zelenskyy that 26 nations are now ready to offer security guarantees, including the possible deployment of foreign troops as part of a post-war peace arrangement.

Paris

Ukraine Invasion

Ukraine's European allies agree security guarantees

CEOs from some of the nation's biggest tech companies sat down for a dinner with President Trump on Thursday. Among those present were Tim Cook, Sam Altman, Bill Gates and Mark Zuckerberg.

Trump hosts Mark Zuckerberg, Bill Gates and other tech CEOs

U.S. President Donald Trump had a call with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and other European leaders Thursday about Russia's war in Ukraine. CBS News White House reporter Olivia Rinaldi has more.

Trump speaks with Zelenskyy, pushes Europe to stop buying Russian oil

"With infinite sorrow, the Armani Group announces the passing of its creator, founder, and tireless driving force: Giorgio Armani," the fashion house said in a statement on Thursday.

Milan

'King' of Italian fashion Giorgio Armani dies at 91

A federal judge on Wednesday ruled that U.S. President Donald Trump's administration unlawfully terminated about $2.2 billion in grants awarded to Harvard University and can no longer cut off research funding to the prestigious Ivy League school.

Cambridge

Trump admin unlawfully cut Harvard's funding, U.S. judge rules

Russian President Vladimir Putin has delivered a statement after meeting leaders on the sidelines of the military event in Beijing. He spoke about Russian security interests, and the Ukraine war.

Moscow

Putin wraps China visit with gas deal, calls for Ukraine peace talks

Hope is fading of finding survivors in the rubble of homes devastated by a powerful earthquake in eastern Afghanistan over the weekend that killed more than 1,400 people, as emergency services struggle to reach remote villages.

Kunar

Hope fades for finding survivors after Afghan quake kills over 1400

Portuguese authorities say at least 15 people died after a streetcar derailed and crashed in the capital of Lisbon. CBS News senior foreign correspondent Imtiaz Tyab has the latest.

Lisbon

Iconic streetcar in Portugal's Lisbon derails, 15 killed

Democratic Rep. Ro Khanna, along with Republican Reps. Thomas Massie and Marjorie Taylor Greene, held a news conference on Wednesday with survivors of Jeffrey Epstein and Ghislaine Maxwell's sexual abuse. CBS News' Caitlin Huey-Burns has more details.

Epstein survivors add voices to calls for transparency

Israel's central intelligence agency, Shin Bet, said that it thwarted an assassination plot by Hamas against the country's right-wing minister of national security, Itamar Ben-Gvir, Reuters reports.

Tel Aviv-Yafo

Israel reportedly thwarted plot to assassinate right-wing minister

In California on Tuesday, a jury took less than an hour to clear Cardi B of assault allegations made in a $24 million civil lawsuit. A security guard claimed the rap star attacked her in 2018.

Los Angeles

Cardi B wins civil case against security guard

Secretary of State Marco Rubio said on Tuesday that the U.S. military struck a boat apparently carrying drugs from Venezuela. CBS News' Charlie D'Agata has the latest details.

Trump says U.S. struck drug-carrying boat from Venezuela

China's Xi Jinping welcomed Russian President Vladimir Putin and North Korea's Kim Jong Un, along with other world leaders, for a huge military parade showing off new technology.

Vladimir Putin, Kim Jong Un attend China's massive military parade

A Republican-led U.S. House of Representatives committee said it released more than 33,000 pages of files on the disgraced financier and convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein, as party leadership looked to end a push by a bipartisan pair of lawmakers to force a vote on the matter.

U.S. House committee releases thousands of Epstein files

French Prime Minister Francois Bayrou last week called for parliament to hold an earlier-than-expected vote of confidence in him. Next week’s ballot could lead to the collapse of his centrist government and prompt a period of further instability in the European Union’s second biggest economy.

France’s PM faces crucial confidence vote amid political turmoil

Tens of thousands of reservists began to report for duty on Tuesday for a new Israeli offensive to seize Gaza City, which Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu wants to accelerate despite warnings from senior ranks.

Israel calls up reservists as military chief clashes with ministers

The House Oversight Committee on Tuesday released over 33,000 pages of documents related to sex offender Jeffrey Epstein.

33,000 pages of Jeffrey Epstein documents released by House panel

Belgium joins the ranks of Australia, France, Canada and the UK, all who have pledged to recognize a Palestinian state at the UNGA next week in a bid to ramp up pressure on the Israeli government to end the war in Gaza.

Brussels

Belgium to recognize Palestine at the UN General Assembly

A powerful 6.0 magnitude earthquake in eastern Afghanistan killed at least 1,400 people, according to the Afghan Red Crescent Society. Thousands more were  injured.

At least 1,400 killed in powerful Afghanistan earthquake

The death toll from Afghanistan's worst earthquake in years jumped to over 1,100 with thousands more injured, as difficult terrain hindered rescue efforts in isolated villages of the country's mountainous eastern region.

Breakdown