One in every 250 babies born in France in 2024 died before their first birthday – a total of 2,700 deaths – and that number has been going up for several years. French MPs have introduced legislation for measures that will examine what's behind the increase, including introducing a registry of infant mortality.

France has recorded more deaths than births for the first time since 1945, according to data from the National Institute of Statistics and Economic Studies. This demographic milestone, initially forecast for 2035, has arrived much sooner than expected. The shift is attributed to a steady decline in the birth rate—down 20% since 2015 and 3.7% lower in the first five months of the year compared to the previous year—while deaths have increased by 3.5% as the baby boomer generation ages.

Factors contributing to the lower birth rate include preferences for smaller families, economic concerns, and stagnant salaries. Despite government proposals, such as improved birth leave policies, no significant measures have yet been implemented to reverse the trend. Further data at the end of the year will clarify whether this marks a lasting demographic change.

France records more deaths than births

It's not like it was unexpected, just not so fast. Data from France's National Institute of Statistics and Economic Studies has shown births outpacing deaths for the first time since 1945, a turning point that hadn't been predicted until 2035. It'll take until the end of the year and further data to know if it's a lasting change and a general demographic shift. However, France's birth rate has been falling for quite some time already, dropping 20% since 2015, with a 3.7% decrease between January and May compared to the same period last year, with deaths climbing 3.5% over the same period as the baby boomer generation reaches its twilight years. As for causes, take your pick. A preference for smaller families, concern over the costs of child rearing, lack of opportunities and stagnant salaries, low birth rates had French politicians concerned over a year and a half ago. A major plan to combat this scourge will be launched to enable demographic rearmament. Despite a raft of government ideas to reverse the trend, such as replacing parental leave with shorter but better paid birth leave, there's been no sign so far of any schemes coming to fruition.

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