For only the ninth year since 1950, there were no named storms in the Atlantic on Sept. 10, but the weeks ahead could bring new tropical threats.

Santiago

Meteorologists report an unusually quiet period in the Atlantic during the statistical peak of hurricane season, with no named storms currently present. This marks only the ninth time since 1950 that the Atlantic Basin has been storm-free at this point in the season, a phenomenon that occurs about 12% of the time.

So far, six named storms have formed, which is below the average pace for the season. The second hurricane and major hurricane of the year have yet to appear, putting the season further behind typical timelines. While some areas are being monitored for potential development, current atmospheric conditions such as dry air and wind shear are limiting storm formation. Warmer waters in the Caribbean may increase the chance of development in the latter half of the month.

All quiet in the Atlantic in hurricane season, what comes next?

We're looking at tropical development potential. It is September 10th, the climatological peak of hurricane season. We're tracking this front that Anna's been talking about, all the impacts, that tremendous rainfall in parts of Florida. If we get a system like this to stall long enough over the Atlantic when the water's warm with limited wind shear, we can sometimes see a storm form. But we don't have any named storms on the map. It is September 10th. This is it, this is the statistical peak of hurricane season. The last time we had a September 10th with no named storms anywhere in the Atlantic Basin, from Mexico to Portugal and in between, 2016. Well, we're gonna run through the day with another year without a named storm on September 10th. And that's the ninth year since 1950. So it happens about maybe 12% of the time that you don't have a named storm. So about 88 to 89% of the time, there is a named storm out there on September 10th. Really, really active time of the year. This is great. And the amazing thing now is we haven't had one for almost two weeks. So it's been very quiet. Now, if we look back at where we've been, we've had six named storms. So the next one to form will be September, will be the seventh of the Atlantic hurricane season. And on average, number seven forms around a week ago. So we're already a week past, but we're not gonna see a storm form today. So we're probably gonna be about a week and a half to two weeks later than your average first date for the seventh named storm. The second hurricane of the year typically forms around August 26th. No signs of a hurricane yet. So we're way behind average there. And the second major hurricane on average forms around the 19th of September. We'll have to see if we see a cat three over the next nine days, probably not. So we're watching a couple of areas for possible development. The one closer to home, as Anna's been tracking, will be near the Florida coast into Georgia. Our front is draped out there. I could draw it one more time. And future radar is gonna highlight some showers and storms out there, but probably not enough organization for us to see an actual depression form. We'll have some heavy rain somewhere near the Bahamas. To the east, we've got another tropical wave. This one's a little more robust, but we've got some very dry air in its path. And then just to the north of that, a very stiff headwind. So also a lot of wind shear out there, a couple of arguments against any development. So the water's warm. We'll be looking for the second half of the month. The open door into the Caribbean will be the southern track, and that water is very warm. So that's gonna be the area of concern for the second half of the month.

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