AccuWeather's Geoff Cornish details the conditions that could either lead to a new tropical storm or stop any potential development before the first week of September.

Tampa

Tropical Storm Fernand is currently the only notable system in the Atlantic, but it is weakening as it moves northeast into cooler waters and is not expected to pose a threat. The presence of significant Saharan dust across the eastern Atlantic is limiting the development of new tropical systems, creating conditions more typical of July than late summer.

The only area with a slight chance of development is a slow-moving low-pressure system near Florida, which could potentially organize off the southeast coast in the coming days. If no new named storm forms by Labor Day, it will mark the second consecutive year without an Atlantic named storm during this period, a situation not seen since the early 1990s.

Will we have a tropical storm in the Atlantic this Labor Day weekend?

In the tropics the only show in town is Fernand and it's not getting a whole lot of eyeballs right now. It does not look like there's any deep convection with this right now. It's a low-level swirl and again it's racing east-northeast at 15 miles per hour. Maxistain wins 50 miles per hour but here's one trough that diverted it east. There's another trough behind that. It'll be another blockade for the east coast. So Fernand has no real future as it's moving farther northeast into colder and colder water. The current tropical wave moving west of Africa is fairly robust but there's a lot of very very dry air across the eastern Atlantic. It really resembles more of a July like pattern when we have this dry dusty Saharan air. It mitigates any real tropical threats here. That dry dusty air just kind of chews apart and evaporates a lot of the the convection here and prevents it from occurring. So the moisture is going to be limited as these tropical waves move out into this region and looking at that Saharan dust here through tomorrow and into Friday there's a little bit of a reduction northwest of Cabo Verde Islands here or the Cabo Verde Islands but for the most part still some unusually significant amounts of Saharan dust migrating west across much of the Atlantic here during a time of year where we don't usually see much of this as typically we're dealing with these tropical waves developing into tropical storms out that way. So this is good news. If there's any development between now and Labor Day it would come out of this slow-moving area of low pressure near Florida crossing the peninsula over the course of the weekend. So the only potential zone of development would be around Sunday, Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday off the southeast coast. If we don't see a new storm develop, a named storm by Labor Day, Fernanda is going to be long gone. It'll be the first time we have back-to-back years without a named storm in the Atlantic on Labor Day since 1991 to 92 because we didn't have one last year either.

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