Turkey’s main opposition is back in limbo. A judge has delayed a decision on whether to annul the Republican People's Party's 2023 congress and unseat leader Ozgur Ozel, pushing the case to October 24 and keeping markets and politics on edge.

Ankara

A Turkish court has delayed its decision on whether to annul the Republican People's Party (CHP) Congress and unseat party leader Özgür Özel, extending the case to a later date. This move comes amid a series of corruption investigations targeting the CHP, which the party claims are politically motivated efforts to destabilise it, while the government maintains that the judiciary acts independently.

Over 500 individuals, including several mayors from CHP-run municipalities, have been detained in the past year as part of these probes. The situation has heightened political tensions, especially following the conviction and jailing of Istanbul's CHP mayor, Ekrem İmamoğlu, a key rival to President Erdoğan. The court's eventual ruling could reshape the opposition's leadership and impact Turkey's political and economic landscape ahead of the 2028 elections.

Why the stakes are high in Turkey's opposition crackdown

A Turkish court on Monday delayed the decision on whether to annul the Republican People's Party Congress and unseat party leader Osgur Ozer, adjourning the case until October 24. The adjournment prolongs uncertainty around Turkey's main opposition at a moment when any leadership shake-up could ripple through markets and shape the run-up to the 2028 elections. The case is part of a year-long set of investigations into the CHP centred on corruption allegations. The party says the probes are politically motivated attempts to destabilise the movement founded by secularist Mustafa Kemal Atatürk. The government says the judiciary is independent and denies political motives for the investigations. Over the past year, more than 500 people including 16 mayors in Istanbul and other CHP-run municipalities have been detained, according to a Reuters review. The CHP denies the allegations and says the cases aim to eliminate the democratic alternative. Istanbul's CHP mayor and President Tayyip Erdoğan's main political rival, Ekrem İmamoğlu, was convicted and jailed pending trial in March in a separate case, sparking the largest protests in years. Now the CHP's overall structure is in the spotlight. Earlier this month, the CHP's Istanbul provincial head was removed from office over alleged vote-buying. Former CHP deputy chair Gürsel Tekin was appointed interim provincial head but the CHP expelled him after he accepted votes. The Ankara civil court is set to revisit the case on October 24. At that hearing, it could annul the CHP's 2023 congress and remove Özgür Özel from the leadership, potentially installing a court-appointed trustee to run the party. Or even reinstating former chairman Kemal Kliç Darulu. It could also dismiss the case or postpone any ruling for further review. Politically, the stakes are high. The case is seen as a test of Turkey's shaky balance between democracy and autocracy. It threatens to deepen disarray and infighting in the opposition camp, boosting Erdoğan's chances of extending his 22-year rule. Polls currently show the CHP running about even with Erdoğan's AK Party. Markets are also sensitive to the legal backdrop. The lira, stocks and bonds rallied after the adjournment.

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Jerusalem

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Tunis

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Breakdown