In today's Forecast Feed, AccuWeather's Damien Lodes shares the latest on a severe storm threat that may impact the central United States this weekend.

Kansas City

Forecasters are tracking an elevated risk of severe weather across the central United States, with the threat peaking on Saturday. The risk zone extends from the southern plains through the northern plains, particularly affecting regions along the I-90 corridor in South Dakota and the I-35 corridor from Oklahoma City to Des Moines.

The most significant threat is expected between I-30 and I-40 in Arkansas, where large hail, damaging winds, and the highest tornado potential since spring are possible. Meteorologists attribute this to increased atmospheric moisture and instability, especially across eastern Oklahoma, Arkansas, and Missouri. Residents in these areas are advised to monitor weather updates closely throughout the weekend.

Tracking severe storms this weekend

Welcome to the forecast feed this is where we give you a behind the scenes look at what our thinking is going into the Forecast and throughout the next couple of days. We're gonna be tracking an elevated risk of severe weather peaking on Saturday, so if you have any weekend plans, you definitely need to pay attention to the forecast So here's the overall risk zone that we are tracking heading into tomorrow There will be a risk of severe weather from the southern plains up into the northern plains Especially that I-90 corridor there in South Dakota. We're gonna be watching out for an elevated risk of a large hail Here as we go forward after that heading into Friday You can see that risk of severe weather is going to slowly shift its way from West to East So the I-35 corridor from Oklahoma City through Wichita, Kansas City, Des Moines We'll be watching out for an elevated risk of severe weather across this region, but that's Friday's risk Once again, the highest potential of severe weather will be on Saturday because take a look at this this zone here between I-30 and I-40 in Arkansas. That's where it looks like we'll see the highest potential of severe weather in this potential We're talking large hail damaging winds and yes, the highest tornado threat We have seen across this region since the spring time. So we will be watching out for that elevated risk So here's what we are thinking. Here's what's going into the overall thinking of what we are tracking here for you So what you're looking at first is going to be the the the view of the upper levels of the atmosphere right here You are looking up about three four or five miles in the atmosphere And what we normally look for in this zone is a couple of dips there in those lines You see and when you really start to see those bright colors on the map. That is when we start to see as meteorologists That's when our ears start to perk up a little bit because when we start to see those bright colors That's when we start to see the elevated risk there for severe weather now any type of severe weather whether it's a hail storm whether it's a tornado anything like that you need moisture in the low levels of the atmosphere and what you're looking at right now is The moisture levels that we were going to be forecasting for so anytime you see green on this particular map There will be enough moisture to support Supercell thunderstorms and overall just severe weather. So from Friday into Saturday You can see just this plume of Gulf moisture being pulled across the coast into the interior And that's why we're really gonna be watching out for that risk of severe weather there across eastern, Oklahoma and Arkansas and especially, Missouri Missouri is gonna be watching out for an elevated risk of severe weather as well so what you're looking at right now is the the amount of Instability in the atmosphere and instability is what really gets those thunderstorms to just explode in intensity So as we had throughout the day on Saturday, you can see Saturday morning We're not seeing a whole lot But then as we had in a Saturday afternoon We're gonna start to see an elevated risk there of these storms starting to develop now This isn't like the kind of setup you would expect in You know early to late May across the southern plains in, Oklahoma But there will be enough instability in the atmosphere to support some severe weather. So the overall zone We're gonna be watching out is between Oklahoma, Arkansas and Missouri I'll go ahead and highlight this here for you of what we're mainly gonna be watching the zone and the zone is gonna be this Zone right here on the map. So that's what we're gonna be mainly watching out for So that's the the amount of instability in the atmosphere whenever you look at the what we call the supercell composite parameter This is the the weather models interpretation of are the conditions favorable for supercell thunderstorms And as we had throughout Saturday, you can really see those numbers really start to jump up Saturday afternoon across, Oklahoma Arkansas and Missouri and when you look at the the models Interpretation of tornado potential that also ramps up there across eastern, Oklahoma into Arkansas and Missouri as well So heading throughout the next couple of days We will be watching out for an elevated risk of severe weather pretty much every single day as we head throughout the weekend But it does look like the highest potential for severe weather including tornadoes will be on Saturday

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