AccuWeather Long-Range Expert Joe Lundberg looks ahead to next week. Rounds of storms are expected to occur from the Dakotas to the Ohio Valley while dangerous heat is forecast to bake the Plains.

Weather forecasts indicate an active pattern across the Midwest and Plains regions, with rounds of thunderstorms expected from the Dakotas to the Ohio Valley. These storms may bring relief from heat and humidity to parts of the Northern Plains, Northeast, and Mid-Atlantic, but also pose risks of severe weather and flash flooding, especially where rainfall is intense.

Meanwhile, a high-pressure system over the Central Plains is set to maintain extreme heat, with temperatures and 'real feel' values reaching or exceeding 100 degrees Fahrenheit. As the high shifts westward, cooler air is expected to move into cities like Minneapolis, Chicago, Detroit, Boston, and New York, potentially bringing temperatures five to fifteen degrees below average and offering a temporary break from summer heat.

Looking ahead: Storms across Midwest; Sizzling heat in Plains

We do have to talk about the long range, cause a lot of people looking ahead to August, trying to find some changes in the patterns here. And there are going to be some changes. It's going to be pretty active pattern. In fact, the three things to know about next week, there's going to be rounds of thunderstorms stretching from the Dakotas into the Ohio Valley. They'll sink south with time, and that's going to lead to a nice break from the heat and humidity for many from the Northern Plains all the way to the North and East. And there's going to be a squeeze play in the heat. We're talking about this heat dome in a lot of places with triple digit heat and real feels well over 100. That's the current pattern right now with this high pressure system over the Central Plains going into the early part of next week. This is the area that we're going to be most focused on for afternoon highs reaching near 100, real field temperatures to 110, heat related illnesses. But along the route of it, this is where you're going to see the shower and thunderstorm activity from parts of the Dakotas into Wisconsin and across parts of Michigan, as well as the Ohio Valley. And that means not just rounds of thunderstorms, but a threat for severe weather. And the repeated rain could lead to some flash flooding risk as well in this area, Melissa. And some of those spots through lower Michigan, for example, really do want that rain. So it's not all a bad thing. It's just if it comes too quickly all at once. Yeah, so here's the pattern that we're again, this is kind of reset for what we are next week. Here's the sizzling heat in the nation's midsection, pretty warm in the West, rounds of thunderstorms over top. Let's look at the 500 millibar flow and see how this evolves as we go through next week. The beginning part of the week, you'll see the center of the high pressure system in here in the central plains. Then as we go forward in time, notice that it starts to migrate a little farther to the West. Over the top of it, you'll see these disturbances coming in this fashion. And eventually what that's going to do, this is a midweek period, say Wednesday, we get to the end of next week and next weekend, that high shifts a little bit farther West, it gets pinched. More disturbances carve out a deeper upper level trough. And the result is this pattern change. We see that ridge squeezed farther to the South and West and comforting relief stretches from the Plain States into the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. How comfortable? I think temperatures in some places are going to be some five to 15 degrees below historical averages, which means you're going to be saving on your energy bills in places like Minneapolis, Chicago, Detroit, Boston, and New York City. Cool nights, it's really going to be very comfortable. So that's what's on the way for later next week and really the first five days of August, where we're going to press pause on summer.

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