Con una parte significativa del comercio mundial dependiendo de la seguridad de la ruta del Mar Rojo, ¿pueden los ataques de los Houthi forzar a Israel y sus aliados a un alto el fuego con Gaza?

Sana'a

The United States has joined Israel in striking nuclear targets in Iran. It follows an escalating broader conflict in the region including the ongoing Gaza war.

Iran Strikes

Los ataques de los Houthi amenazan el comercio mundial

Los puertos israelíes parecen más tranquilos que nunca, como el bloqueo en el Mar Rojo ha causado graves trastornos. El 99% de las importaciones de Israel dependen de las rutas marítimas. Además, el 25% del comercio de Israel se realiza con países de Extremo Oriente, indicando que el 30% de sus importaciones pasan por el Mar Rojo. Esto subraya la indispensabilidad de la ruta del Mar Rojo para la economía israelí. Desde el inicio de los ataques Houthi, los puertos israelíes de Eliyat y Ashkelon han dejado de recibir buques y operaciones en el puerto de Ashdod casi se han detenido. ¿Es la crisis del Mar Rojo un problema exclusivo de Israel? Aparentemente, no. La ruta del Mar Rojo es realmente vital para el comercio mundial. Los barcos deben navegar por Bermelmanda, proseguir hacia el Mar Rojo y entrar en el Canal de Suez. Esta ruta crucial gestiona el 12% del comercio mundial y un significativo 40% del comercio entre Europa y Asia. Sin embargo, en un mes, El tráfico del Mar Rojo experimentó un descenso del 40%, lo que provocó que muchas de las principales compañías navieras a anunciar planes de desvío hacia África, resultando en la adición de 6.000 millas náuticas a la ruta habitual. Como resultado, los precios del petróleo experimentaron una subida del 4 y los del gas natural subieron un 13%. El coste del transporte marítimo desde Asia hasta el Mediterráneo a través del Canal de Suez ha alcanzado las 2.450 toneladas. Para un contenedor de 40 pies, lo que indica un aumento del 62% desde finales de noviembre. Costes de seguros, fletes y contenedores también aumentaron drásticamente. ¿Quiénes son los Houthis y por qué se arriesgan tanto? para interrumpir el comercio mundial? Los Houthis son un grupo rebelde del norte de Yemen. Se apoderaron de la capital, Saná, entre 2014 y 2015. Controlan la capital del país y todo el territorio que controlan contiene entre el 70 y el 80% de toda la población de Yemen. Así que son un grupo muy influyente en este momento. Han demostrado ser bastante diplomáticos y militarmente. Tienen la oportunidad de hacerlo debido a su control del puerto de al-Hodeidah a lo largo del Mar Rojo en la costa de Yemen. Sus acciones en el Mar Rojo llevarán a Israel cese su asalto a Gaza. Eso probablemente no será un factor importante en la toma de decisiones de Israel. Sin embargo, los Houthis dicen que creen y creo que realmente esperan que sus acciones, como apuntar a los buques del Mar Rojo, conducirá a ese resultado, especialmente si eso significa que los Houthis obtendrían incluso un crédito parcial por el cese de los bombardeos israelíes sobre Gaza. A cambio, EE.UU. formó una fuerza de tarea conjunta, Operación Guardián de la Prosperidad. Así que en el Mar Rojo, estamos liderando una fuerza de tarea marítima multinacional para defender el principio básico de la libertad de navegación. Inicialmente, la OPG estaba formada por 10 naciones, pero España, Italia y Francia se retiraron inmediatamente. ¿Puede Estados Unidos derrotar a los Houthis? Obviamente, las capacidades militares Houthi frente al ejército estadounidense no es nada. Es muy, muy simple. Pero la lección que debe ser la toma de distancia de los últimos ocho o nueve años de guerra en Yemen es que una fuerza militar más fuerte no se traduce en victoria. Así que es poco probable que una mayor acción militar de EE.UU. en Yemen tenga ese resultado. A medida que el intercambio verbal se convierte en escaramuzas mortales entre las milicias Houthis y la Marina de los EE.UU. en el Mar Rojo, es probable que esta crisis se amplifique los impactos de la guerra en Gaza y arrojan sombras sobre la economía mundial.

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Kerrville

Rescues continue in central Texas after deadly flash floods

Officials in the U.S. state of Texas say at least 13 people have died in overnight flash floods after torrential rains triggered an overflow of the Guadalupe River. Nearly 20 children attending a summer camp in the south-central area are missing.

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Ukraine Invasion

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Gilimanuk

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Tehran

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Iran Strikes