AccuWeather's Alex DaSilva was live on the AccuWeather Network on Aug. 1 to discuss the tropics.

Meteorologists are closely monitoring the Atlantic as the hurricane season approaches its peak. While the season typically intensifies from mid-August through September, current conditions in the tropical Atlantic remain generally unfavorable for significant storm development. A stalled front off the southeast coast of the United States is expected to bring rain and gusty winds, but any potential system is likely to move away from land.

A tropical wave, which originated off Africa, is being tracked as it moves north of the Lesser Antilles toward the Bahamas, but dry air and cooler-than-average water temperatures are inhibiting its development. Experts note that the Atlantic is currently experiencing an 'Atlantic Nina' phase, which usually results in weaker tropical waves and reduced hurricane activity in the eastern Atlantic.

Checking in on the tropics

We're getting closer and closer to the heart of the hurricane season, which begins mid to late August through September. We're not there yet, but we're getting closer and closer. Well, thank you to Myrtle Beach, South Carolina, because we know it's always the time. We're looking out over those waters. It's one of the reasons we love to be here, but also one of the reasons why it's a little risky at times. It really is. And this is why Bernie doesn't go on vacation after August 15th. Now, for a couple of reasons, we're not allowed to, because it's hurricane season. But I don't typically get near the water after August 15th. July 15th through August 15th is when Bernie goes on vacation. I love talking about myself in the third person. I also like bringing in my good friend and our hurricane lead forecaster, Alex DaSilva. And Alex, a brand new month. But when you take a look at the breeding grounds for August, it's similar to what we see in July, except in the tropical Atlantic, the area where you see development kind of does expand a little bit. Yeah, August is interesting. It's almost a tale of two months. Early in the month, we still are really looking close to home in the Gulf or off the southeast coast. But as you really get into that middle to end part of the month, that's really when we open the door more for those tropical waves that are coming across the Atlantic. So that's really where we start to open that door much further to the east. Unlike July, early July, August, you get less and less dips in the jet stream coming close to getting down in the southeast United States. But we are going to see one. It's on its way southward. That's why we're getting that refreshing air mass coming in to the Midwest and northeast. So this weekend and early next week, this is what it looks like. I have the jet stream drawn on here. I don't think it's deep enough for the Gulf, but you know what? It does stall a boundary off the southeast coast of the U.S. Yeah, we're essentially going to get a stalled front that's going to develop off the southeast coast, and it's going to bring a lot of rain and maybe even some rough surf and maybe even some gusty winds right at the immediate shoreline. But then we have to watch to see if something can develop along that frontal boundary. The timing of that would be August 2nd to the 5th. So that's what we have to watch out for. Nevertheless, it looks like it's going to be moving away from the United States. The Atlantic's still what I call hostile for development, right, Alex? You still have a lot of dry air and pockets of winter, but you can see a tropical wave. We've been tracking that since it came off Africa. Right now, that's north and east of the islands. Yeah, it's really struggling right now coming across there. You can see a little bit of convection along with it, but it's kind of surrounded by all of that yellow and orange color there, indicating a lot of that dusty dry air. Now, as we go throughout the month of August, that will decrease a little bit, but there's still a lot out there right now. While it's unlikely that this system is not going to develop that wave over the next couple of days, you know, we've been talking about this all week. This time of the year, you track things until they dissipate or move over to land. Yeah, we'll have to watch it. It's going to move north of the Lesser Antilles and towards the Turks and Caicos and the Bahamas. We'll track it as it moves up through there, but I just don't think it's going to be really a favorable environment. It gets a little bit more favorable for development, but there's still going to be some dry air that I think it's going to be really hard for this to develop. But this time of the year, the waters are so warm, we still need to at least keep an eye on it. You know, everybody, I think, is used to the terms El Nino and La Nina, but there's been some recent research about the Atlantic and water temperature anomalies. Yeah, we call this the Atlantic Nina or Nino region. Now, this is the boxed area that we're looking at here. So you're right along the equator, just off the west coast of Africa. And you can look at the water temperatures in this box and they're below average right now. A lot of blue in this box. So right now we are in an Atlantic Nina as we speak right now. And if we take a look at what that would mean for the tropical Atlantic, well, usually you have a little bit more wind shear across the Atlantic. And that jet stream that really brings those tropical waves across the Atlantic from Africa is usually in a more weakened phase. And so the tropical waves that are emerging from Africa are usually a little bit weaker and usually have a little bit of a harder time getting going. So typically we don't see a lot of those big time hurricanes in the eastern Atlantic when we have those cooler waters down near Africa. If those waters warm, however, then the switch flips and then that's more favorable for those more long track big time hurricanes in the eastern Atlantic. Accuweather lead hurricane expert Alex De Silva, thanks for joining us here on Accuweather Early.

A mass shooting in Anaconda triggers community shock and concern, as witnesses share their experiences and the investigation unfolds amid rising tensions.

Anaconda

Community in shock following deadly shooting in Anaconda

U.S. President Donald Trump said he's ordered his administration to fire the commissioner of the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, on the same day new data was released showing weak job growth in July. The Labor Department also sharply revised job growth for May and June down.

Washington

Trump orders firing of U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner

U.S. President Donald Trump says he ordered two nuclear submarines to be positioned in the "appropriate regions" as a response to comments made by Russia's former president. CBS News' Charlie D'Agata reports.

Trump says nuclear submarines moved in response to Russia

Jeffrey Epstein accomplice Ghislaine Maxwell has been transferred to a Bryan, Texas, prison, CBS News confirms. Maxwell was previously held in Tallahassee, Florida.

Bryan

Ghislaine Maxwell transferred to Texas prison

The announcement comes as international pressure mounts on Israel over the war in Gaza and the deepening humanitarian crisis in the Palestinian enclave.

Ljubljana

Middle East Conflict

Slovenia becomes first EU country to ban arms trade with Israel

The United States imposed sanctions on Palestinian Authority officials just as other nations are stressing the importance of the PA in governing Gaza in the event of an end to the devastating war in the enclave.

New York

U.S. sanctions Palestinian Authority in growing diplomatic rift

Ukraine’s Parliament has reversed a controversial law signed last week by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, which would have allowed the government greater control over anti-corruption agencies. The decision comes as the country faces one of its most significant political crises since Russia’s full-scale invasion in 2022.

Kyiv

Ukraine Invasion

Ukraine parliament reverses bill on anti-corruption agencies amid crisis

U.S. President Donald Trump has signed an executive order increasing tariffs on Canadian goods that don't meet the terms of the Canada-U.S.-Mexico Agreement to 35 per cent.

Ottawa

Global Tariffs

Trump raises Canada tariff to 35%, grants extension to Mexico

U.S. special envoy Steve Witkoff met Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on July 31 in a bid to salvage Gaza truce talks and tackle a humanitarian crisis in the enclave, where a global hunger monitor has warned that famine is unfolding.

Jerusalem

Trump's envoy meets Netanyahu for Gaza aid, ceasefire push

U.S. special envoy Steve Witkoff is visiting Israel as more countries join the call to recognize a Palestinian state in September. CBS News' Robert Berger has the latest.

Trump envoy in Israel as Canada joins call on Palestinian statehood

President Donald Trump says the U.S. will charge a 15% tariff on imports from South Korea as part of a deal that eases, for now, tension with a top-10 trading partner and key Asian ally.

Trump says U.S. will set 15% tariff on South Korean imports

U.S. President Donald Trump slapped a 50% tariff on most Brazilian goods to fight what he has called a "witch hunt" against former President Jair Bolsonaro, but softened the blow by excluding sectors such as aircraft, energy and orange juice from heavier levies.

Rio de Janeiro

Trump hits Brazil with tariffs, sanctions but key sectors excluded

Widespread damage from tsunami waves after one of the strongest earthquakes ever recorded appears to have been largely avoided. Experts say this event should be used to gauge disaster preparedness for a more serious situation in the future.

Okinawa

Tsunami damage less severe than feared after Russian earthquake

Prime Minister Mark Carney announced that Canada will recognize a Palestinian state later this year if the Palestinian Authority, which governs parts of the West Bank, meets certain conditions.

Canada to recognize Palestinian state in September if conditions met

Australia said on Wednesday (July 30) it will add YouTube to sites covered by its world-first ban on social media for teenagers, reversing an earlier decision to exempt the Alphabet-owned video-sharing site and potentially setting up a legal challenge.

Canberra

Australia expands teen social media ban to YouTube

President Donald Trump said on Wednesday (July 30) the United States will impose a 25% tariff on goods imported from India, as well as an unspecified penalty for buying Russian weapons and oil, on Aug. 1.

Trump says U.S. to hit India with 25% tariff starting August 1

Mourners flooded the streets of Birmingham to celebrate the life of rock-and-roll legend Ozzy Osbourne during his funeral procession in the United Kingdom. Mark Savage, a music reporter at the BBC, a CBS News partner, joins with more details.

Birmingham

Ozzy Osbourne fans flood Birmingham streets to mourn late music icon

U.S. President Donald Trump told reporters before departing from Scotland that Jeffrey Epstein poached workers from his Mar-a-Lago spa. Trump mentioned Virginia Giuffre, one of Epstein's most vocal accusers, in his latest remarks.

Trump says Epstein 'stole' young women from Mar-a-Lago spa

Owdeh Hathaleen, a 31-year‑old Palestinian activist, teacher, and filmmaker behind the Oscar-winning documentary No Other Land, was shot dead by an Israeli settler near the village of Umm al‑Khair in the South Hebron Hills.

Palestinian activist killed by Israeli settler in West Bank

A powerful magnitude 8.8 earthquake off Russia's Far Eastern Kamchatka Peninsula triggered tsunami waves of up to 16 feet nearby, and sparked evacuation orders in Japan, Hawaii and across the Pacific on Wednesday (July 30).

Hawaii

Tsunami reaches Hawaii after huge quake shakes Russia's Far East

The U.N. General Assembly brought high-level officials together to promote a two-state solution to the decades-old Israel-Palestinian conflict. Israel and the United States are boycotting the two-day meeting, co-chaired by the foreign ministers of France and Saudi Arabia

Israel and U.S. boycott UN Summit for two-state solution

With numerous countries facing an Aug. 1 trade agreement deadline, officials in the Trump administration say China could get an extension while negotiations continue.

Trump officials suggest potential tariff truce with China

Police say the man who shot and killed four people in a New York City office building before he took his own life had a "documented mental health history." Mayor Eric Adams says he may have been targeting the National Football League (NFL).

Manhattan gunman had 'documented mental health history'

Jeffrey Epstein-associate Ghislaine Maxwell is offering to testify before Congress in exchange for concessions like full immunity. CBS News Department of Justice reporter Jake Rosen has more.

Ghislaine Maxwell offers to testify before Congress

Prime Minister Keir Starmer said on Tuesday (July 29) Britain was prepared to recognize a Palestinian state in September at the United Nations General Assembly unless Israel takes a number of steps to improve life for Palestinians.

London

UK to recognize Palestinian state unless Israel takes action

Russia launched overnight air strikes on over 70 Ukrainian cities, killing more than 20 people, according to President Zelenskyy. A pregnant woman died near a hospital in the southeast, while a prison strike killed at least 17.

Deadly Russian air raids hit Ukraine as Trump warns of sanctions

For the first time, human rights groups inside Israel are accusing their own government of committing genocide in Gaza. Israel insists it is targeting Hamas, not civilians—despite nearly 60,000 Palestinian deaths since the war began almost two years ago.

Rights groups in Israel accuse country of genocide

As Gaza’s crisis worsens, France is advocating for a two-state solution at a UN conference co-chaired by the French foreign minister. The meeting follows President Macron’s announcement that France will formally recognize a Palestinian state in September.

France leads UN talks on Israel-Palestine two-state solution

Former Colombian President Álvaro Uribe was found guilty of bribery and witness tampering in an unprecedented trial that has shaken the country.

Bogotá

Ex-Colombian president Uribe convicted of witness tampering, bribery

Russian Security Council Deputy Chairman Dmitry Medvedev posted on social media that President Trump's deadline push for a ceasefire with Ukraine is "a threat and a step towards war."

Breakdown