Storm systems close to the U.S. that originally prompted tropical concerns are unlikely to develop now, but forecasters are already watching two waves out in the Atlantic.

Nassau

Meteorologists are monitoring four weather features in the Atlantic, with two disturbances near the U.S. coast showing little sign of development. A disorganized zone of moisture is expected to bring rain to parts of the southeastern United States but is unlikely to form into a tropical system. Of greater interest are two tropical waves moving west from Africa. The first is expected to curve northward, likely staying east of Bermuda, while the second may track closer to the Leeward Islands and the Caribbean.

The steering pattern, influenced by the Bermuda-Azores high, could shift in the coming weeks, potentially directing storms farther south into the Caribbean. August is historically one of the most active months for tropical storms in the region, and meteorologists are keeping a close watch on these developments.

Could a mid-August tropical storm be headed toward the Caribbean?

As we take a look into the Atlantic we do have some noise. There are four features that we're highlighting but just because we're hedging our bets against these two closer to home we'll get them out of the way first. There's a little more interest to the east but this disturbance here east of Cape Hatteras it's probably not going to organize. It's already being scooped up by some mid-level winds and upper-level winds that's going to be carried out to see if it does organize. It would happen in the next 24 to 36 hours and we're hedging our bets against that. There's a big zone of moisture moving into the Gulf, very disorganized. This is going to be drifting into the Gulf and hanging out there for a few days but it looks so disorganized we probably won't see that develop. It will spend some extra time there bringing some more moisture though into the Florida, Georgia and southern Alabama area. This pesky little wave here is going to likely organize so will this one moving off the west coast of Africa and you'll notice that the first one farther west is going to curve more sharply to the northwest and eventually to the north. The second one though is going to have kind of a different movement here, a different vector with a little bit less of a sharp curve to the north. It may be on a northward jog as it gets close to the Leeward Islands. We need to keep an eye on both of these though and the Bermuda-Azores high is the main driving factor in the steering flow across the Atlantic and this is going to be a big concern here. So initially the circulation is kind of bottled up closer to the Azores and less close to Bermuda so that will allow the the current storm or at least the first storm to form to pull pretty sharply north and probably even stay east of Bermuda but as this gets more expansive gradually over the next week or two by the time we hit the middle of the month the flow may be more like this farther south directing things into the Caribbean and in all the month of August this is where we often see storms travel. It is a fairly high-impact risk area here the Caribbean as we get deeper into August one of the three busiest months of the year in the typical hurricane season. you

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