How likely is a Gaza peace deal?

Asked 2 hours ago

Answer

There is cautious optimism but significant skepticism about a Gaza peace deal. While both sides are under pressure and some progress has been made, experts estimate a 50% chance for a limited exchange and much lower odds for a comprehensive agreement. Key issues like disarmament and governance remain unresolved.

Now Playing

How likely is a Gaza peace deal as negotiators meet in Egypt?

CBS News · Just In

CBS News

Just In

Negotiators from Israel and Hamas are meeting in Egypt with mediation from Qatar and Egypt. 8s
External pressure, including from the Trump administration, has been crucial in bringing both sides to the table. 17s
Israel faces internal political and economic pressures, while Hamas faces pressure from Arab leaders and the impact of conflict. 41s
Israel is willing to offer amnesty and safe passage to Hamas members who disarm, as outlined in the draft agreement. 1m 47s
A key issue in the negotiations is how both sides define disarmament and what defensive weapons Hamas may retain. 2m 13s

Military & Conflict International Politics

References

How likely is a Gaza peace deal as negotiators meet in Egypt?

CBS News

5 hours ago

How likely is a Gaza peace deal as negotiators meet in Egypt?

Negotiations are possible due to outside pressure, but the outcome is uncertain and depends on how both sides define disarmament and agree on terms.

Peace talks on Gaza set to begin in Egypt

CBS News

8 hours ago

Peace talks on Gaza set to begin in Egypt

Former Israeli ambassador Alan Pincus gives a 50% chance for a hostage and prisoner exchange, but only about a 10% likelihood for a broader peace deal.

CBS News

8 hours ago

Peace talks on Gaza set to begin in Egypt

The likelihood of a comprehensive peace plan is estimated to be as low as 10% due to ambiguity and potential for breakdown in negotiations.