An area of low pressure has now formed about 100 miles off the northeast Florida coast and has been designated Invest 92L by the National Hurricane Center.

Florida

A low-pressure system, now identified as Invest 92L, has formed approximately 100 miles off the northeast coast of Florida. The National Hurricane Center has increased the probability of this system developing into a tropical cyclone to 60% over the next two days, up from 50% previously. 

Regardless of further development, the system is expected to bring rain, clouds, lightning, and localized flooding to affected coastal areas. Beachgoers are advised to exercise caution due to potentially hazardous conditions. If the system strengthens, it could be named Chantal, becoming the third named storm of the season. Forecast models suggest ongoing monitoring is necessary as the system could impact areas up to Virginia.

Tracking tropical interest area, development odds increasing

This has got a 60% chance of forming over the next two days. So that number has now increased. Remember, it was at a 50% chance. Now, really, it's the next two days that's gonna make or break this storm system on whether it becomes something or not. Either way, it's gonna mean conditions outside your door have chances for rain, clouds, cloud to ground lightning, localized flooding, and the beach conditions likely gonna have those yellow flags. So just swim next to a lifeguard, as Justin says. But because we have an invest now, the National Hurricane Center is going to investigate this. And what that means is it gives us more intel on what could happen. And then, of course, the European wants to increase the likelihood of this thing becoming something. So we'll see what happens. If it's a depression, you've got the winds sub 38 miles per hour, you've got closed circulation on this storm, and so you've got an entity there. And then, as the winds pick up, now you've got a TS, a tropical storm. And if the winds continue to pick up, now we're talking hurricane, just to kind of give you guys perspective, again, of what all those means. If we're talking a tropical depression or a tropical storm, either way, if we get that name, it's Chantal, all right? That'll be the third name on the list. We've already picked up the first two names. It's very short-lived, but we've got them. And then, you know, if you look at our European model, it just keeps this thing strung out a little bit. Could it be a depression? Maybe, but you've got showers and storms coming up each and every day into the Carolinas and maybe all the way up towards the Virginia area, Virginia Beach. So we'll be kind of watching that through the weekend and early next week. The GFS has a little bit more organization, but same kind of concept here, Kelly, which is one of the reasons why we're not focusing in on the name or what we classify it as. All you guys want to know is, is my barbecue going to get rained down or not? Right.

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Kyiv

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Breakdown