AccuWeather's Alex DaSilva was live on the AccuWeather Network on July 10 to discuss the chances of tropical development.

Panama City Beach

Meteorologists from AccuWeather have noted that the Atlantic hurricane season is progressing ahead of historical averages, with three named storms already recorded. Warmer-than-average water temperatures near the United States have contributed to early tropical development, a trend that was anticipated by experts earlier in the year.

Currently, the Atlantic is experiencing conditions that make further storm development challenging, such as dry air and hostile winds. Research into Atlantic water temperature patterns, specifically the Atlantic Niña, suggests that cooler waters off the west coast of Africa may slow new storm formation. While the immediate risk of significant storms remains low, meteorologists continue to monitor the region closely for any changes.

Tracking chances for tropical development

Outside we go right now to Panama City Beach of Florida. Things pretty quiet here and of course tropical systems also are heavy rain producers and flash flood producers as well. So we always want to keep an eye out and keep our eye ahead to see what's brewing in the Atlantic Basin. With that, joining us right now is AccuWeather lead hurricane expert Alex DiSilva. You know Alex, I think it's a lesson for us on how quickly things can change in the Atlantic Basin. We learned two weeks ago that we didn't have any storm, no prospects for storms, all of a sudden we have three storms and I've got to hand it to you and the long range team. You warned us back in early March that we would have an early start to the hurricane season or what I should say is early season development and boy did that occur over the last ten days. Yeah, it certainly did. We were concerned way back in March that we could see early season tropical development, the water temperatures especially close to the United States are way warmer than average for this time of the year and so we thought that that would happen at the beginning of the hurricane season and throughout and then like you said, boom, boom, boom, checking these names off the list. The next name on the list is Dexter and we're already starting to highlight the potential for that in the next week or so. Just to give you some historical context here, I mean we're running now about a month ahead of historical averages. Yeah, we indeed are. The average third named storm which we just saw is at the beginning of August and we typically wait until August to see our first hurricane. Of course, we have not seen our first hurricane. That usually comes all the way on August 11th so typically early in the tropical season we see some tropical storms. The hurricanes are usually a little bit later in the tropical season as we decrease some of that wind shear and increase those water temperatures. What we're seeing right now in the Atlantic is nothing unusual. We see this a lot this time of the year. It is very difficult to get tropical waves to bust through Saharan dust and also wind shear and that's why what happened last year with Barrel coming out of the Atlantic and coming into Texas was so unusual. Yeah, that was such an incredible storm. The fact that we had the earliest Category 5 on record by a whole two weeks coming right through the Caribbean during early season was very, very unusual. Nothing like that coming up here over the next couple of weeks. Way too much dry air coming off of Africa and a lot of hostile winds across the Atlantic. If anything's going to develop, I think over the next week or two, it's going to be close to the United States. Certainly many are familiar with the term El Niño and La Niña, but some recent research now starting to point us also where El Niño and La Niña deals with the tropical Pacific. There's new research looking at water temperatures off the west coast of Africa, Alex. Yeah, this is a very active area of research. A lot of papers have come out over the last couple of years really talking about this Atlantic Niño or Atlantic Niña in this case, which is this boxed area off the west coast of Africa. You can see how much blue is in this area right now. We're in an Atlantic Niña right now and you can see how blue it is in that area. What the research has found is, especially down in that eastern main development region, so right off the coast of Africa there, this tends to slow tropical development. I'm thinking that if this holds on through the middle of the hurricane season, we could see a lot less of these robust tropical waves coming off of Africa and developing. On the contrary, if this area warms up and we see an Atlantic Niño, that tends to aid in tropical development, especially in that eastern main development region. It's all about homegrown development this time of the year when you have that jet stream coming on south. You can bring frontal boundaries, upper lows. That could produce showers and thunderstorms. That's what happened with Chantel and as we've been talking about, Alex, we're a little worried middle part of next week. Yeah, we're going to have to watch cold front coming down and we're going to have a dip in the jet stream in that area as well. Little bit of spin going on in the atmosphere through there, but the question we always have to wonder is, is it going to be sitting around long enough for things to take shape? Chantel just made it. There was enough time where that area of low pressure was able to build over the Gulf Stream. We're going to have to watch this one carefully as well. Looks like it would be in the northern Gulf. There is still a chance it could pop off the southeast coast towards the middle of the month, but low chance right now, but we're keeping an eye on it. And our lead hurricane expert, Alex DaSilva. Thanks for joining us, Alex. We'll talk to you at 10-15.

The Ventura County Fire Department said they responded to calls of people having breathing problems at a farm in Ventura County, California, after federal agents appeared to deploy tear gas canisters into the crowd.

Ventura County

Intense standoff in California between protesters, federal agents

A federal judge has green-lit a class action lawsuit challenging President Trump's executive order to end birthright citizenship and issued a preliminary injunction blocking the order.

Washington

Judge blocks Trump's birthright citizenship order

A partial tunnel collapse in Los Angeles temporarily buried 31 workers in Los Angeles, California. CBS News' Carter Evans reports on the rescue operation.

Los Angeles

31 trapped workers rescued after tunnel collapse

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio expressed “disappointment and frustration” over continued Russian attacks on Ukraine and said new sanctions on Russia are a “real option.” Kylie Atwood has more details from Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.

Kuala Lumpur

Global Tariffs

Rubio: New Russia sanctions a ‘real option’

With Russia again bombarding Ukraine with drones, U.S. President Donald Trump says he’s considering sending another missile defence system to Ukraine.

Kyiv

Ukraine Invasion

Trump muses missile defence system for Ukraine

Officials in Texas are promising to address concerns about flood warnings in parts of the state, but say the ongoing search-and-rescue efforts must be complete first.

Texas

Texas officials to address flood warnings after search complete

Linda Yaccarino is stepping down as CEO of X after two years leading Elon Musk's social media company. Yaccarino's departure comes one day after the company's Grok chatbot began pushing antisemitic tropes in responses to users.

San Francisco

Yaccarino steps down as CEO of Elon Musk's X

Parts of Ukraine were on fire overnight after Russia launched its largest drone attack on Ukraine since the war unfolded. Just hours earlier, Trump directly called out Vladimir Putin for stalled peace talks.

Moscow

Trump calls out Putin for stalled peace talks

The Trump administration branded the event as one of the steps it is taking to reshape its relationship with the African continent.

Five African leaders have lunch with Trump

The search continues in central Texas for the more than 160 people still missing from the deadly floods that hit over the Fourth of July. CBS News reporter Karen Hua has more.

Kerr County

Recovery operations ongoing in Texas as more than 160 still missing

U.S. President Donald Trump announced on social media that he issued tariff letters to Algeria, Brunei, Iraq, Libya, Moldova and the Philippines.

Trump sends tariff letters to six more countries

Video released by the Houthi media center shows the bulk carrier ‘Magic Seas’ being attacked and later sinking in the Iran-backed rebel group’s first attack this year on a commercial shipping vessel in the Red Sea.

Sana'a

Middle East Conflict

Houthi rebels claim responsibility for attack on ship in Red Sea

The European Court of Human Rights in Strasbourg ruled Russia violated international law in Ukraine and was responsible for the downing of Malaysia Airlines Flight MH17.

Top European court rules Russia violated international law in Ukraine

The death toll from the July Fourth flash flood that ravaged a swath of central Texas Hill Country rose on Tuesday to at least 109, many of them children, as search teams pressed on through mounds of mud-encrusted debris looking for scores of people still missing.

Texas flood death toll hits triple digits, tally of missing tops 180

U.S. President Donald Trump pushed back during his Cabinet meeting about a question regarding Jeffrey Epstein. The DOJ claims Epstein had no list of clients, which is drawing criticism from some of the president's supporters.

Trump questioned over report saying Epstein didn't have client list

The copper industry is facing new uncertainty after U.S. President Donald Trump said he will impose 50 per cent tariffs on all copper imports. More than half of all Canadian copper exports go to the U.S.

Ontario

Trump threatens 50% tariff on copper imports

CNN’s Josh Cambell reports on questions over a lack of flood warning signals and lagging investment in river gauges in Kerr County after deadly floods killed over 100 people in Central Texas.

Officials face questions over preparedness for Texas floods

Hundreds of firefighters battled a fast-moving wildfire that reached the outskirts of the southern French city of Marseille on Tuesday, forcing people to stay indoors and the nearby airport to close.

Marseille

France wildfire shuts down Marseille airport

Liverpool's Portuguese forward Diogo Jota was probably speeding when the Lamborghini car he was driving crashed in northwestern Spain, killing him and his brother, police said in a preliminary report.

Cernadilla

Liverpool's Jota likely speeding when car crashed, police say

French President Emmanuel Macron arrived in Britain on Tuesday for a state visit mixing royal pageantry with thorny political talks about stopping migrants from crossing the English Channel in small boats.

London

UK royals welcome France's Macron for state visit

U.S. President Donald Trump said the U.S. will send more weapons to Ukraine as Russian attacks intensified in recent weeks. The decision comes after the U.S. halted certain shipments last week.

Trump says U.S. will send more weapons to Ukraine

Brazil hosted the second and final day of the 17th BRICS Summit in Rio de Janeiro on Monday.

Rio de Janeiro

BRICS summit ends on health issues, role of global south countries

U.S. President Donald Trump, hosting Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu at the White House, said the United States had scheduled talks with Iran and indicated progress on a controversial effort to relocate Palestinians out of Gaza.

Netanyahu meets Trump as Israel, Hamas discuss ceasefire

Search teams continue to look for survivors after catastrophic flash floods overwhelmed parts of the US state of Texas. About 100 people have been killed and dozens more are missing. Officials say the National Weather Service didn't provide enough warning of the heavy rain.

Rising Texas death toll fuels anger over 'inadequate warning'

Leaders of BRICS have warned of the dangers of tariffs - saying they don't want a confrontation with US President Donald Trump. The group of emerging nations made the comments at their summit in Brazil. They also discussed Gaza and tensions in the Middle East.

BRICS summit rejects U.S. tariff threats, tackles trade and Gaza

Video captured by a BBC News crew shows French police slashing a boat filled with migrants trying to cross into the U.K. The crackdown comes ahead of a summit this week between the French president and British prime minister.

French police slashing migrants’ boat in crackdown

President Donald Trump's Justice Department and FBI released a memo concluding that there is no evidence Jeffrey Epstein had a "client list." The FBI confirmed that more than 1,000 victims were harmed by Epstein.

FBI: Epstein investigation turned up no 'incriminating client list'

The death toll from the devastating floods in Texas has risen to at least 90 as rescue workers continue to search for dozens of missing people. At least 27 campers and counselors at Camp Mystic in central Texas died in the floods.

Kerrville

At least 90 people killed in Texas floods

A shooter is dead after opening fire at a U.S. Border Patrol building in McAllen, Texas, a Department of Homeland Security spokesperson said. CBS News' Shanelle Kaul has the latest updates.

McAllen

Shooter killed after opening fire at U.S. Border Patrol building

Israel’s military launched airstrikes early on Monday targeting ports and facilities held by Yemen’s Houthi rebels. The strikes followed a suspected Houthi attack on a ship in the Red Sea.